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Monty Hall Decision Problem
The Monty Hall problem (see <en.wikipedia.org...>) is a simple counter-intuitive puzzle. There are three doors, two of which have goats behind them and third door, a car. First, you pick a door. Monty then chooses a door with a goat behind it. Now it is up to you: Stay with your door or swap to the other unopened door?
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Bayesian Intelligence